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Red64
699822.6
427058.9
665218.1
Blue130
39933.3
916825.1
473859.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1111165010015020064130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4270
#23
58.93.0
58.455.3
Auto11.4
Teleop36.0
End11.2
blue by 0.8
59.81.1
55.556.6
Auto14.5
Teleop38.5
End6.6
Second
6998
#30
22.63.0
25.322.2
Auto6.5
Teleop10.4
End6.0
blue by 10.7
399
#46
33.31.1
31.432.5
Auto11.2
Teleop16.9
End5.3
Third
6652
#59
18.13.0
20.817.7
Auto5.8
Teleop8.5
End4.2
blue by 7.0
9168
#69
25.11.1
21.522.6
Auto7.9
Teleop12.1
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
51%Sustainability oddsMissed32%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
41%Activation oddsEarned58%Activation oddsMissed