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Red153
401052.7
294533.8
328431.6
Blue127
804654.7
901912.4
413154.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1211280200300400500600153127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4010
#27
52.70.5
50.149.6
Auto13.1
Teleop30.3
End9.4
blue by 2.1
54.70.2
54.154.2
Auto14.1
Teleop30.0
End9.6
Second
2945
#55
33.80.5
31.831.4
Auto8.2
Teleop16.9
End8.9
blue by 20.8
4131
#31
54.70.2
53.753.9
Auto14.5
Teleop32.8
End7.2
Third
3284
#64
31.60.5
31.531.0
Auto8.2
Teleop17.0
End6.8
red by 19.2
9019
#78
12.40.2
11.611.7
Auto3.6
Teleop6.3
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
34%Sustainability oddsMissed73%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned90%Activation oddsEarned