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Red190
478831.5
594075.0
331061.0
Blue131
237051.9
279146.7
702159.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16816180100120140180200220240190131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.01.5
72.173.7
Auto19.7
Teleop44.0
End8.9
red by 15.7
7021
#38
59.31.4
59.958.5
Auto13.6
Teleop33.9
End9.9
Second
61.01.5
60.662.1
Auto13.2
Teleop38.7
End7.7
red by 9.1
2370
#15
51.91.4
53.051.6
Auto11.5
Teleop31.2
End8.0
Third
4788
#53
31.51.5
29.330.8
Auto6.8
Teleop20.6
End4.0
blue by 15.2
2791
#63
46.71.4
46.845.4
Auto13.6
Teleop27.3
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
93%Sustainability oddsEarned94%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsMissed