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Red112
901537.1
568757.9
871123.7
Blue128
704229.9
789058.2
756543.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123139050100200250112128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5687
#20
57.90.4
59.258.9
Auto16.2
Teleop34.1
End5.5
blue by 0.3
7890
#44
58.20.0
58.558.5
Auto15.8
Teleop31.6
End8.7
Second
9015
#48
37.10.4
36.836.4
Auto11.4
Teleop18.0
End7.9
blue by 5.8
7565
#40
43.00.0
40.540.5
Auto11.6
Teleop25.9
End5.6
Third
8711
#68
23.70.4
21.621.2
Auto9.7
Teleop12.8
End1.7
blue by 6.2
7042
#47
29.90.0
29.329.3
Auto11.6
Teleop12.0
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
56%Sustainability oddsMissed43%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
51%Activation oddsMissed79%Activation oddsEarned