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Red135
361642.6
839341.2
32555.6
Blue166
572760.0
313239.3
384755.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14315750100200135166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
325
#19
55.60.4
53.052.6
Auto15.2
Teleop32.2
End7.2
blue by 4.4
5727
#11
60.01.3
56.657.9
Auto15.3
Teleop37.5
End7.1
Second
3616
#43
42.60.4
41.941.5
Auto10.4
Teleop23.6
End8.7
blue by 12.8
55.41.3
53.254.5
Auto13.2
Teleop33.9
End7.0
Third
8393
#50
41.20.4
41.140.7
Auto13.2
Teleop22.2
End6.1
red by 1.9
3132
#32
39.31.3
36.838.2
Auto12.4
Teleop18.9
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
65%Sustainability oddsMissed74%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
73%Activation oddsEarned94%Activation oddsEarned