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Red128
478831.5
632977.4
901912.4
Blue139
39933.3
413154.7
901537.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1231326080100140160180200128139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.40.7
74.875.5
Auto17.5
Teleop46.5
End10.2
red by 22.8
4131
#31
54.70.7
53.954.7
Auto14.5
Teleop32.8
End7.2
Second
4788
#53
31.50.7
30.831.5
Auto6.8
Teleop20.6
End4.0
blue by 5.6
9015
#48
37.10.7
36.437.1
Auto11.4
Teleop18.0
End7.9
Third
9019
#78
12.40.7
11.712.4
Auto3.6
Teleop6.3
End3.1
blue by 20.8
399
#46
33.30.7
32.533.3
Auto11.2
Teleop16.9
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
50%Sustainability oddsEarned40%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
62%Activation oddsEarned67%Activation oddsEarned