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Red189
32555.6
401052.7
572760.0
Blue151
817757.5
331061.0
568757.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16918150100150200250300189151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5727
#11
60.01.9
57.959.8
Auto15.3
Teleop37.5
End7.1
blue by 1.0
61.01.2
62.161.0
Auto13.2
Teleop38.7
End7.7
Second
325
#19
55.61.9
52.654.5
Auto15.2
Teleop32.2
End7.2
blue by 2.2
5687
#20
57.91.2
58.957.7
Auto16.2
Teleop34.1
End5.5
Third
4010
#27
52.71.9
49.651.5
Auto13.1
Teleop30.3
End9.4
blue by 4.8
8177
#49
57.51.2
57.356.1
Auto12.9
Teleop35.1
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
90%Sustainability oddsEarned98%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
93%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsEarned