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Red139
64951.6
32555.6
11553.1
Blue129
294533.8
478831.5
541454.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16310150150200139129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
325
#19
55.60.4
50.550.1
Auto15.2
Teleop32.2
End7.2
red by 0.9
5414
#10
54.71.8
52.954.7
Auto12.4
Teleop33.3
End8.3
Second
115
#13
53.10.4
48.948.5
Auto13.1
Teleop31.9
End7.6
red by 19.3
2945
#55
33.81.8
23.124.8
Auto8.2
Teleop16.9
End8.9
Third
649
#17
51.60.4
48.247.8
Auto14.4
Teleop28.7
End7.0
red by 20.0
4788
#53
31.51.8
26.328.1
Auto6.8
Teleop20.6
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
75%Sustainability oddsEarned38%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
90%Activation oddsEarned24%Activation oddsEarned