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Red142
30260.6
702159.3
219952.8
Blue137
699545.8
901629.8
401052.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18011050100150200142137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#14
60.61.2
58.757.5
Auto13.1
Teleop34.4
End10.9
red by 7.9
4010
#27
52.71.6
40.642.2
Auto13.1
Teleop30.3
End9.4
Second
7021
#38
59.31.2
58.257.0
Auto13.6
Teleop33.9
End9.9
red by 13.5
6995
#24
45.81.6
46.948.5
Auto11.8
Teleop26.4
End6.1
Third
2199
#39
52.81.2
51.350.1
Auto14.4
Teleop29.7
End7.9
red by 23.1
9016
#74
29.81.6
24.826.5
Auto10.3
Teleop16.1
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
95%Sustainability oddsEarned16%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
96%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsEarned