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Red115
635825.7
478831.5
219952.8
Blue193
568757.9
632977.4
294533.8
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10116550150200250115193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2199
#39
52.80.8
50.150.9
Auto14.4
Teleop29.7
End7.9
blue by 24.6
77.42.4
68.370.7
Auto17.5
Teleop46.5
End10.2
Second
4788
#53
31.50.8
28.128.9
Auto6.8
Teleop20.6
End4.0
blue by 26.3
5687
#20
57.92.4
57.359.6
Auto16.2
Teleop34.1
End5.5
Third
6358
#58
25.70.8
24.825.6
Auto6.4
Teleop11.6
End8.1
blue by 8.1
2945
#55
33.82.4
24.827.2
Auto8.2
Teleop16.9
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
38%Sustainability oddsMissed95%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
71%Activation oddsEarned83%Activation oddsEarned