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Red90
30260.6
901912.4
352623.0
Blue165
839341.2
590754.0
14866.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8118605010015020025090165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#14
60.60.1
57.557.6
Auto13.1
Teleop34.4
End10.9
blue by 5.8
148
#7
66.40.3
66.767.0
Auto12.6
Teleop42.5
End9.4
Second
3526
#29
23.00.1
17.517.6
Auto3.9
Teleop16.1
End3.5
blue by 31.0
5907
#62
54.00.3
51.651.9
Auto15.3
Teleop29.9
End7.7
Third
9019
#78
12.40.1
13.913.9
Auto3.6
Teleop6.3
End3.1
blue by 28.8
8393
#50
41.20.3
42.943.2
Auto13.2
Teleop22.2
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
24%Sustainability oddsMissed93%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
51%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsEarned