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Qual 302023 Curie Division
Red146
401052.7
590148.8
699822.6
Blue117
753423.5
263736.0
11553.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116103406080140160180146117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4010
#27
52.72.6
42.2→44.8
Auto13.1
Teleop30.3
End9.4
blue by 0.5
115
#13
53.11.3
48.5→49.8
Auto13.1
Teleop31.9
End7.6
Second
5901
#35
48.82.6
45.1→47.7
Auto12.8
Teleop24.5
End10.6
red by 12.8
2637
#72
36.01.3
32.2→33.5
Auto7.3
Teleop20.9
End7.7
Third
6998
#30
22.62.6
19.8→22.4
Auto6.5
Teleop10.4
End6.0
blue by 1.0
7534
#70
23.51.3
17.2→18.4
Auto4.1
Teleop13.0
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
39%Sustainability oddsEarned23%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
60%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsEarned