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Red118
789058.2
572760.0
686829.4
Blue124
541454.7
658621.8
427058.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15013350100200250118124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5727
#11
60.01.4
53.151.8
Auto15.3
Teleop37.5
End7.1
red by 1.1
4270
#23
58.90.2
55.955.7
Auto11.4
Teleop36.0
End11.2
Second
7890
#44
58.21.4
57.155.7
Auto15.8
Teleop31.6
End8.7
red by 3.5
5414
#10
54.70.2
54.754.5
Auto12.4
Teleop33.3
End8.3
Third
6868
#75
29.41.5
30.529.0
Auto6.0
Teleop17.1
End6.3
red by 7.6
6586
#52
21.80.2
16.516.3
Auto6.2
Teleop9.1
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
83%Sustainability oddsMissed84%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
90%Activation oddsMissed57%Activation oddsEarned