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Red123
842649.6
237051.9
873930.1
Blue100
915315.3
32555.6
871123.7
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1458250100200123100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2370
#15
51.90.7
53.052.4
Auto11.5
Teleop31.2
End8.0
blue by 3.7
325
#19
55.61.0
50.151.1
Auto15.2
Teleop32.2
End7.2
Second
8426
#36
49.60.7
48.948.3
Auto13.2
Teleop26.1
End8.9
red by 25.9
8711
#68
23.71.0
17.618.6
Auto9.7
Teleop12.8
End1.7
Third
8739
#33
30.10.7
25.825.2
Auto8.8
Teleop15.2
End6.4
red by 14.8
9153
#71
15.31.0
16.917.9
Auto1.6
Teleop10.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
31%Sustainability oddsMissed20%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
94%Activation oddsEarned25%Activation oddsMissed