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Red142
18057.7
594075.0
901629.8
Blue146
722047.0
400351.6
361642.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163144100200250142146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.00.6
67.466.8
Auto19.7
Teleop44.0
End8.9
red by 23.4
4003
#41
51.60.2
50.750.9
Auto14.4
Teleop30.9
End5.2
Second
180
#28
57.70.6
58.557.9
Auto16.7
Teleop32.7
End8.1
red by 10.7
47.00.2
42.843.0
Auto12.7
Teleop26.0
End7.8
Third
9016
#74
29.80.6
26.525.9
Auto10.3
Teleop16.1
End3.6
blue by 12.9
3616
#43
42.60.2
44.344.5
Auto10.4
Teleop23.6
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
81%Sustainability oddsEarned90%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
96%Activation oddsMissed80%Activation oddsEarned