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Red118
664731.6
413154.7
374939.0
Blue95
279146.7
334119.5
313239.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12110205015020011895

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4131
#31
54.70.4
49.249.6
Auto14.5
Teleop32.8
End7.2
red by 8.0
2791
#63
46.70.2
44.644.4
Auto13.6
Teleop27.3
End4.6
Second
3749
#56
39.00.4
31.732.2
Auto9.7
Teleop22.4
End6.9
blue by 0.3
3132
#32
39.30.2
35.134.9
Auto12.4
Teleop18.9
End8.0
Third
6647
#57
31.60.4
30.330.8
Auto8.9
Teleop15.8
End7.1
red by 12.1
3341
#77
19.50.3
18.718.4
Auto7.9
Teleop10.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
42%Sustainability oddsMissed14%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
63%Activation oddsEarned66%Activation oddsMissed