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Red147
439247.9
665218.1
34351.4
Blue159
817757.5
245152.9
175668.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9818650150200250147159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#25
51.42.6
49.652.2
Auto12.4
Teleop29.9
End8.8
blue by 17.1
68.50.6
60.359.6
Auto15.5
Teleop42.2
End8.4
Second
4392
#61
47.92.6
42.344.9
Auto13.1
Teleop27.6
End6.9
blue by 9.6
8177
#49
57.50.6
53.753.1
Auto12.9
Teleop35.1
End7.7
Third
6652
#59
18.12.6
10.913.5
Auto5.8
Teleop8.5
End4.2
blue by 34.8
2451
#54
52.90.6
59.158.5
Auto9.4
Teleop33.3
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
43%Sustainability oddsEarned96%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
38%Activation oddsEarned95%Activation oddsMissed