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Red116
756543.0
39933.3
361642.6
Blue106
686829.4
399054.4
300832.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11811250100150200116106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7565
#40
43.00.4
37.137.5
Auto11.6
Teleop25.9
End5.6
blue by 11.4
3990
#12
54.40.0
50.250.2
Auto15.2
Teleop30.3
End8.2
Second
3616
#43
42.60.4
44.544.9
Auto10.4
Teleop23.6
End8.7
red by 9.9
3008
#51
32.70.0
26.826.8
Auto7.6
Teleop18.9
End6.4
Third
399
#46
33.30.4
28.228.6
Auto11.2
Teleop16.9
End5.3
red by 3.9
6868
#75
29.40.0
29.029.0
Auto6.0
Teleop17.1
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
39%Sustainability oddsEarned33%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
61%Activation oddsMissed52%Activation oddsEarned