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Red160
413154.7
635825.7
30260.6
Blue125
664731.6
842649.6
186859.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14114650100200160125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#14
60.61.8
57.659.4
Auto13.1
Teleop34.4
End10.9
red by 1.3
1868
#60
59.30.7
56.956.2
Auto17.1
Teleop32.0
End9.5
Second
4131
#31
54.71.8
49.651.5
Auto14.5
Teleop32.8
End7.2
red by 5.1
8426
#36
49.60.7
48.347.6
Auto13.2
Teleop26.1
End8.9
Third
6358
#58
25.71.8
25.627.4
Auto6.4
Teleop11.6
End8.1
blue by 5.9
6647
#57
31.60.7
30.830.0
Auto8.9
Teleop15.8
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
65%Sustainability oddsEarned23%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsEarned