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Red128
175668.5
658621.8
908520.6
Blue121
263736.0
871123.7
279146.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1031048090110120130128121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.51.1
59.660.7
Auto15.5
Teleop42.2
End8.4
red by 21.8
2791
#63
46.71.3
44.445.7
Auto13.6
Teleop27.3
End4.6
Second
6586
#52
21.81.1
16.317.4
Auto6.2
Teleop9.1
End6.8
blue by 14.2
2637
#72
36.01.3
33.534.8
Auto7.3
Teleop20.9
End7.7
Third
9085
#73
20.61.1
21.322.3
Auto7.6
Teleop8.8
End4.5
blue by 3.0
8711
#68
23.71.3
18.619.9
Auto9.7
Teleop12.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
16%Sustainability oddsMissed26%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
57%Activation oddsEarned32%Activation oddsMissed