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Red180
572760.0
263736.0
413154.7
Blue131
237051.9
871123.7
64951.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15112650100200250180131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5727
#11
60.02.5
52.054.4
Auto15.3
Teleop37.5
End7.1
red by 8.1
2370
#15
51.90.7
52.553.2
Auto11.5
Teleop31.2
End8.0
Second
4131
#31
54.72.5
51.553.9
Auto14.5
Teleop32.8
End7.2
red by 3.1
649
#17
51.60.7
49.049.6
Auto14.4
Teleop28.7
End7.0
Third
2637
#72
36.02.5
34.837.3
Auto7.3
Teleop20.9
End7.7
red by 12.3
8711
#68
23.70.7
19.920.6
Auto9.7
Teleop12.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
72%Sustainability oddsEarned72%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
85%Activation oddsEarned71%Activation oddsEarned