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Qual 562023 Curie Division
Red159
753423.5
279146.7
594075.0
Blue146
140357.9
30260.6
245152.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13617650100150200250159146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5940
#1
75.01.4
67.9→69.3
Auto19.7
Teleop44.0
End8.9
red by 14.4
302
#14
60.60.9
59.4→58.5
Auto13.1
Teleop34.4
End10.9
Second
2791
#63
46.71.4
45.7→47.1
Auto13.6
Teleop27.3
End4.6
blue by 11.2
1403
#26
57.90.9
54.2→53.3
Auto11.1
Teleop36.1
End8.4
Third
7534
#70
23.51.4
19.4→20.8
Auto4.1
Teleop13.0
End6.7
blue by 29.3
2451
#54
52.90.9
57.0→56.1
Auto9.4
Teleop33.3
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
82%Sustainability oddsEarned97%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
60%Activation oddsEarned95%Activation oddsMissed