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Red82
328431.6
374939.0
901537.1
Blue110
873930.1
665218.1
400351.6
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116100020030040050082110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3749
#56
39.01.6
33.631.9
Auto9.7
Teleop22.4
End6.9
blue by 12.6
4003
#41
51.60.9
52.053.0
Auto14.4
Teleop30.9
End5.2
Second
9015
#48
37.11.6
36.334.7
Auto11.4
Teleop18.0
End7.9
red by 7.1
8739
#33
30.10.9
27.027.9
Auto8.8
Teleop15.2
End6.4
Third
3284
#64
31.61.6
36.735.1
Auto8.2
Teleop17.0
End6.8
red by 13.5
6652
#59
18.10.9
16.917.8
Auto5.8
Teleop8.5
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
51%Sustainability oddsMissed33%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
71%Activation oddsEarned65%Activation oddsMissed