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Red74
915315.3
348928.8
425354.3
Blue121
294533.8
699545.8
641336.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11413005010015020025030074121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4253
#22
54.32.7
58.555.9
Auto13.5
Teleop29.7
End9.6
red by 8.4
6995
#24
45.80.1
50.250.3
Auto11.8
Teleop26.4
End6.1
Second
3489
#65
28.82.7
32.529.9
Auto7.5
Teleop14.9
End6.7
blue by 7.6
6413
#66
36.30.1
38.939.0
Auto10.9
Teleop18.3
End7.1
Third
9153
#71
15.32.7
17.815.1
Auto1.6
Teleop10.1
End4.0
blue by 18.5
2945
#55
33.80.1
30.630.7
Auto8.2
Teleop16.9
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
28%Sustainability oddsMissed48%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
81%Activation oddsMissed61%Activation oddsMissed