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Red170
632977.4
439247.9
313239.3
Blue156
14866.4
686829.4
33346.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15615050100200250170156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.41.6
71.773.3
Auto17.5
Teleop46.5
End10.2
red by 11.0
148
#7
66.40.6
65.666.2
Auto12.6
Teleop42.5
End9.4
Second
4392
#61
47.91.6
44.646.2
Auto13.1
Teleop27.6
End6.9
red by 1.4
333
#37
46.50.6
47.448.0
Auto13.3
Teleop23.8
End8.9
Third
3132
#32
39.31.6
32.834.4
Auto12.4
Teleop18.9
End8.0
red by 9.9
6868
#75
29.40.6
29.029.6
Auto6.0
Teleop17.1
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
76%Sustainability oddsEarned82%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned69%Activation oddsEarned