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Red157
279146.7
64951.6
842649.6
Blue74
590148.8
361642.6
901912.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15610705020025015774

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
649
#17
51.61.1
49.650.8
Auto14.4
Teleop28.7
End7.0
red by 2.8
5901
#35
48.82.2
48.646.4
Auto12.8
Teleop24.5
End10.6
Second
8426
#36
49.61.1
48.249.3
Auto13.2
Teleop26.1
End8.9
red by 7.0
3616
#43
42.62.2
44.842.6
Auto10.4
Teleop23.6
End8.7
Third
2791
#63
46.71.1
47.148.2
Auto13.6
Teleop27.3
End4.6
red by 34.3
9019
#78
12.42.2
13.411.2
Auto3.6
Teleop6.3
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
75%Sustainability oddsEarned51%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
88%Activation oddsEarned78%Activation oddsEarned