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Red88
664731.6
541454.7
916825.1
Blue81
400351.6
328431.6
871123.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11011760801001401608881

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5414
#10
54.71.1
54.353.2
Auto12.4
Teleop33.3
End8.3
red by 3.1
4003
#41
51.62.8
53.050.1
Auto14.4
Teleop30.9
End5.2
Second
6647
#57
31.61.1
30.329.2
Auto8.9
Teleop15.8
End7.1
Level
3284
#64
31.62.8
35.132.2
Auto8.2
Teleop17.0
End6.8
Third
9168
#69
25.11.1
19.818.7
Auto7.9
Teleop12.1
End5.5
red by 1.5
8711
#68
23.72.8
20.617.7
Auto9.7
Teleop12.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
19%Sustainability oddsMissed52%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
73%Activation oddsEarned58%Activation oddsMissed