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Red126
590754.0
901537.1
665218.1
Blue104
915315.3
401052.7
686829.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1169850150200126104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5907
#62
54.01.0
51.051.9
Auto15.3
Teleop29.9
End7.7
red by 1.4
4010
#27
52.70.3
49.850.1
Auto13.1
Teleop30.3
End9.4
Second
9015
#48
37.11.0
35.836.8
Auto11.4
Teleop18.0
End7.9
red by 7.7
6868
#75
29.40.3
29.629.9
Auto6.0
Teleop17.1
End6.3
Third
6652
#59
18.11.0
19.820.8
Auto5.8
Teleop8.5
End4.2
red by 2.8
9153
#71
15.30.3
14.915.3
Auto1.6
Teleop10.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
40%Sustainability oddsMissed20%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
69%Activation oddsEarned41%Activation oddsEarned