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Red112
425354.3
14866.4
478831.5
Blue154
594075.0
300832.7
704229.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16312950100150200250112154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#7
66.43.5
66.262.7
Auto12.6
Teleop42.5
End9.4
blue by 8.6
75.01.1
69.370.4
Auto19.7
Teleop44.0
End8.9
Second
4253
#22
54.33.5
55.952.4
Auto13.5
Teleop29.7
End9.6
red by 21.6
3008
#51
32.71.1
28.229.4
Auto7.6
Teleop18.9
End6.4
Third
4788
#53
31.53.5
31.227.7
Auto6.8
Teleop20.6
End4.0
red by 1.7
7042
#47
29.91.1
27.628.7
Auto11.6
Teleop12.0
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
80%Sustainability oddsMissed52%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
87%Activation oddsMissed73%Activation oddsEarned