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Red103
921925.7
753423.5
294533.8
Blue153
334119.5
384755.4
632977.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66170050100150200250103153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2945
#55
33.81.9
30.732.5
Auto8.2
Teleop16.9
End8.9
blue by 43.6
77.40.1
73.373.4
Auto17.5
Teleop46.5
End10.2
Second
9219
#67
25.71.9
23.725.5
Auto7.4
Teleop13.9
End4.8
blue by 29.7
55.40.1
54.955.0
Auto13.2
Teleop33.9
End7.0
Third
7534
#70
23.51.9
20.822.6
Auto4.1
Teleop13.0
End6.7
red by 4.1
3341
#77
19.50.1
20.820.9
Auto7.9
Teleop10.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed86%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
22%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsEarned