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Red123
641336.3
18057.7
39933.3
Blue166
374939.0
11553.1
568757.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134149100200123166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#28
57.70.3
57.357.1
Auto16.7
Teleop32.7
End8.1
blue by 0.1
5687
#20
57.90.6
58.158.6
Auto16.2
Teleop34.1
End5.5
Second
6413
#66
36.30.3
39.038.8
Auto10.9
Teleop18.3
End7.1
blue by 16.8
115
#13
53.10.6
51.151.7
Auto13.1
Teleop31.9
End7.6
Third
399
#46
33.30.3
30.930.6
Auto11.2
Teleop16.9
End5.3
blue by 5.7
3749
#56
39.00.6
31.932.5
Auto9.7
Teleop22.4
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
59%Sustainability oddsEarned80%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
88%Activation oddsMissed78%Activation oddsEarned