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Qual 772023 Curie Division
Red128
219952.8
476649.3
658621.8
Blue163
722047.0
473859.8
873930.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12413480100140160180128163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2199
#39
52.80.7
50.6→51.3
Auto14.4
Teleop29.7
End7.9
blue by 6.9
4738
#4
59.81.9
52.2→54.1
Auto14.5
Teleop38.5
End6.6
Second
4766
#45
49.30.7
47.6→48.3
Auto11.1
Teleop29.1
End9.6
red by 2.3
7220
#9
47.01.9
44.3→46.2
Auto12.7
Teleop26.0
End7.8
Third
6586
#52
21.80.7
19.6→20.3
Auto6.2
Teleop9.1
End6.8
blue by 8.3
8739
#33
30.11.9
27.9→29.8
Auto8.8
Teleop15.2
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
45%Sustainability oddsEarned35%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned75%Activation oddsEarned