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Red158
177154.9
33346.5
439247.9
Blue186
30260.6
32555.6
789058.2
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15217250100200250300158186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1771
#16
54.90.5
54.755.2
Auto19.2
Teleop27.7
End7.2
blue by 5.7
302
#14
60.61.1
58.559.6
Auto13.1
Teleop34.4
End10.9
Second
4392
#61
47.90.5
45.846.3
Auto13.1
Teleop27.6
End6.9
blue by 10.3
7890
#44
58.21.1
56.357.5
Auto15.8
Teleop31.6
End8.7
Third
333
#37
46.50.5
48.048.5
Auto13.3
Teleop23.8
End8.9
blue by 9.1
325
#19
55.61.1
51.953.0
Auto15.2
Teleop32.2
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
86%Sustainability oddsEarned87%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned97%Activation oddsEarned