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Red167
789058.2
722047.0
804654.7
Blue175
632977.4
399054.4
32555.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157185100200250167175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7890
#44
58.21.1
57.558.6
Auto15.8
Teleop31.6
End8.7
blue by 19.2
77.40.0
73.473.4
Auto17.5
Teleop46.5
End10.2
Second
54.71.1
52.153.2
Auto14.1
Teleop30.0
End9.6
blue by 0.9
325
#19
55.60.0
53.053.0
Auto15.2
Teleop32.2
End7.2
Third
47.01.1
46.247.3
Auto12.7
Teleop26.0
End7.8
blue by 7.4
3990
#12
54.40.0
52.952.9
Auto15.2
Teleop30.3
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
90%Sustainability oddsEarned96%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
97%Activation oddsEarned97%Activation oddsMissed