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Red147
11553.1
704229.9
177154.9
Blue92
348928.8
873930.1
81856.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1471175010020025014792

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1771
#16
54.90.5
55.255.7
Auto19.2
Teleop27.7
End7.2
blue by 1.5
818
#21
56.51.5
55.153.6
Auto15.8
Teleop31.9
End6.9
Second
115
#13
53.10.5
51.752.2
Auto13.1
Teleop31.9
End7.6
red by 23.0
8739
#33
30.11.5
29.828.3
Auto8.8
Teleop15.2
End6.4
Third
7042
#47
29.90.5
28.729.2
Auto11.6
Teleop12.0
End6.7
red by 1.1
3489
#65
28.81.5
29.427.9
Auto7.5
Teleop14.9
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
65%Sustainability oddsEarned39%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
85%Activation oddsEarned87%Activation oddsMissed