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Red136
568757.9
476649.3
334119.5
Blue102
908520.6
901629.8
439247.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14296050200136102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5687
#20
57.90.5
58.659.2
Auto16.2
Teleop34.1
End5.5
red by 10.0
4392
#61
47.90.1
46.346.4
Auto13.1
Teleop27.6
End6.9
Second
4766
#45
49.30.5
48.348.8
Auto11.1
Teleop29.1
End9.6
red by 19.6
9016
#74
29.80.1
27.027.1
Auto10.3
Teleop16.1
End3.6
Third
3341
#77
19.50.5
20.921.4
Auto7.9
Teleop10.0
End1.7
blue by 1.2
9085
#73
20.60.1
22.322.4
Auto7.6
Teleop8.8
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
64%Sustainability oddsEarned16%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
63%Activation oddsMissed43%Activation oddsMissed