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Red99
279146.7
33346.5
641336.3
Blue162
572760.0
753423.5
219952.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143137010020030040050060070099162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2791
#63
46.72.3
49.146.8
Auto13.6
Teleop27.3
End4.6
blue by 13.3
5727
#11
60.01.0
55.556.5
Auto15.3
Teleop37.5
End7.1
Second
333
#37
46.52.3
48.546.2
Auto13.3
Teleop23.8
End8.9
blue by 6.3
2199
#39
52.81.0
51.352.3
Auto14.4
Teleop29.7
End7.9
Third
6413
#66
36.32.3
38.836.4
Auto10.9
Teleop18.3
End7.1
red by 12.8
7534
#70
23.51.0
22.623.7
Auto4.1
Teleop13.0
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
84%Sustainability oddsMissed85%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
73%Activation oddsEarned88%Activation oddsEarned