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Qual 912023 Curie Division
Red121
658621.8
384755.4
18057.7
Blue177
300832.7
30260.6
175668.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13816150100150200250121177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#28
57.70.8
57.1→56.3
Auto16.7
Teleop32.7
End8.1
blue by 10.8
1756
#2
68.51.9
61.6→63.5
Auto15.5
Teleop42.2
End8.4
Second
3847
#8
55.40.8
55.0→54.2
Auto13.2
Teleop33.9
End7.0
blue by 5.2
302
#14
60.61.9
59.6→61.5
Auto13.1
Teleop34.4
End10.9
Third
6586
#52
21.80.8
20.3→19.5
Auto6.2
Teleop9.1
End6.8
blue by 10.9
3008
#51
32.71.9
29.4→31.3
Auto7.6
Teleop18.9
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
59%Sustainability oddsMissed79%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
90%Activation oddsEarned95%Activation oddsEarned