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Red123
871123.7
916825.1
44951.8
Blue106
686829.4
425354.3
635825.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90124050100150200123106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#18
51.82.0
49.551.5
Auto13.4
Teleop30.0
End7.9
blue by 2.4
4253
#22
54.31.1
53.252.1
Auto13.5
Teleop29.7
End9.6
Second
9168
#69
25.12.0
19.521.5
Auto7.9
Teleop12.1
End5.5
blue by 4.3
6868
#75
29.41.1
30.729.6
Auto6.0
Teleop17.1
End6.3
Third
8711
#68
23.72.0
19.621.6
Auto9.7
Teleop12.8
End1.7
blue by 2.0
6358
#58
25.71.1
28.427.3
Auto6.4
Teleop11.6
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
16%Sustainability oddsMissed29%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
38%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsEarned