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Red114
839341.2
294533.8
590148.8
Blue122
756543.0
901537.1
699822.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13410050150200250114122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5901
#35
48.80.5
47.847.3
Auto12.8
Teleop24.5
End10.6
red by 5.8
7565
#40
43.01.3
39.240.5
Auto11.6
Teleop25.9
End5.6
Second
8393
#50
41.20.5
41.641.1
Auto13.2
Teleop22.2
End6.1
red by 4.1
9015
#48
37.11.3
34.535.8
Auto11.4
Teleop18.0
End7.9
Third
2945
#55
33.80.5
32.431.8
Auto8.2
Teleop16.9
End8.9
red by 11.3
6998
#30
22.61.3
24.025.3
Auto6.5
Teleop10.4
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
54%Sustainability oddsMissed40%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
76%Activation oddsEarned38%Activation oddsEarned