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Qual 952023 Curie Division
Red179
427058.9
374939.0
473859.8
Blue195
401052.7
413154.7
594075.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14818750100250300179195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4738
#4
59.82.0
53.5→55.5
Auto14.5
Teleop38.5
End6.6
blue by 15.3
5940
#1
75.01.0
71.2→72.1
Auto19.7
Teleop44.0
End8.9
Second
4270
#23
58.92.0
56.3→58.4
Auto11.4
Teleop36.0
End11.2
red by 4.3
4131
#31
54.71.0
52.8→53.7
Auto14.5
Teleop32.8
End7.2
Third
3749
#56
39.02.0
34.4→36.5
Auto9.7
Teleop22.4
End6.9
blue by 13.7
4010
#27
52.71.0
48.8→49.8
Auto13.1
Teleop30.3
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
92%Sustainability oddsEarned95%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsEarned