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Red168
568757.9
572760.0
804654.7
Blue193
632977.4
14866.4
81856.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175200100150250168193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5727
#11
60.00.1
60.160.0
Auto15.3
Teleop37.5
End7.1
blue by 17.4
77.40.4
76.276.7
Auto17.5
Teleop46.5
End10.2
Second
5687
#20
57.90.1
58.057.9
Auto16.2
Teleop34.1
End5.5
blue by 8.5
148
#7
66.40.4
65.265.7
Auto12.6
Teleop42.5
End9.4
Third
54.70.1
54.854.7
Auto14.1
Teleop30.0
End9.6
blue by 1.7
818
#21
56.50.4
55.355.7
Auto15.8
Teleop31.9
End6.9