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Red178
427058.9
401052.7
473859.8
Blue199
817757.5
186859.3
541454.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions182173120140160200220240260178199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.80.2
59.659.8
Auto14.5
Teleop38.5
End6.6
red by 0.5
1868
#60
59.30.8
58.359.1
Auto17.1
Teleop32.0
End9.5
Second
4270
#23
58.90.2
58.858.9
Auto11.4
Teleop36.0
End11.2
red by 1.5
8177
#49
57.50.8
56.557.3
Auto12.9
Teleop35.1
End7.7
Third
4010
#27
52.70.2
52.552.7
Auto13.1
Teleop30.3
End9.4
blue by 2.1
5414
#10
54.70.8
53.854.5
Auto12.4
Teleop33.3
End8.3