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Red195
64951.6
594075.0
175668.5
Blue169
32555.6
384755.4
702159.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions194170120140160180220240260195169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.00.3
73.774.0
Auto19.7
Teleop44.0
End8.9
red by 15.7
7021
#38
59.30.1
59.259.3
Auto13.6
Teleop33.9
End9.9
Second
68.50.3
67.267.5
Auto15.5
Teleop42.2
End8.4
red by 12.9
325
#19
55.60.1
55.555.6
Auto15.2
Teleop32.2
End7.2
Third
649
#17
51.60.3
50.250.6
Auto14.4
Teleop28.7
End7.0
blue by 3.8
55.40.1
55.355.4
Auto13.2
Teleop33.9
End7.0