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Match 82023 Curie Division
Red198
81856.5
14866.4
632977.4
Blue188
473859.8
401052.7
427058.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions198177100150250300198188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6329
#3
77.40.3
76.0→76.2
Auto17.5
Teleop46.5
End10.2
red by 17.7
4738
#4
59.80.4
59.2→59.6
Auto14.5
Teleop38.5
End6.6
Second
148
#7
66.40.3
64.9→65.2
Auto12.6
Teleop42.5
End9.4
red by 7.5
4270
#23
58.90.4
58.4→58.8
Auto11.4
Teleop36.0
End11.2
Third
818
#21
56.50.3
55.0→55.3
Auto15.8
Teleop31.9
End6.9
red by 3.8
4010
#27
52.70.4
52.1→52.5
Auto13.1
Teleop30.3
End9.4