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Red181
64951.6
594075.0
175668.5
Blue184
476649.3
572760.0
568757.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions194172120140160180220240260181184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.00.0
73.673.7
Auto19.7
Teleop44.0
End8.9
red by 15.0
5727
#11
60.00.4
59.760.1
Auto15.3
Teleop37.5
End7.1
Second
68.50.0
67.167.2
Auto15.5
Teleop42.2
End8.4
red by 10.6
5687
#20
57.90.4
57.558.0
Auto16.2
Teleop34.1
End5.5
Third
649
#17
51.60.0
50.250.2
Auto14.4
Teleop28.7
End7.0
red by 2.2
4766
#45
49.30.4
48.949.3
Auto11.1
Teleop29.1
End9.6