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Red153
399054.4
18057.7
400351.6
Blue175
32555.6
384755.4
702159.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions170173100120140160180200220240153175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#28
57.70.2
57.957.7
Auto16.7
Teleop32.7
End8.1
blue by 1.5
7021
#38
59.30.3
58.959.2
Auto13.6
Teleop33.9
End9.9
Second
3990
#12
54.40.2
54.554.4
Auto15.2
Teleop30.3
End8.2
blue by 1.3
325
#19
55.60.3
55.255.5
Auto15.2
Teleop32.2
End7.2
Third
4003
#41
51.60.2
51.751.6
Auto14.4
Teleop30.9
End5.2
blue by 3.8
55.40.3
55.055.3
Auto13.2
Teleop33.9
End7.0