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Red198
494663.7
461357.0
547266.5
Blue210
546065.5
12567.8
87058.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions189193120140160180200220240260198210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.50.4
66.166.5
Auto14.2
Teleop41.7
End8.4
blue by 1.3
125
#25
67.80.6
66.967.4
Auto17.4
Teleop37.7
End10.9
Second
4946
#13
63.70.4
63.363.7
Auto15.7
Teleop37.5
End8.7
blue by 1.8
65.50.6
64.665.2
Auto14.5
Teleop42.1
End7.3
Third
4613
#31
57.00.4
56.556.9
Auto13.1
Teleop36.6
End6.9
blue by 1.8
870
#24
58.80.6
57.858.4
Auto14.6
Teleop34.4
End9.3