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Red172
420660.1
265960.9
479558.0
Blue199
546065.5
12567.8
87058.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions188193100150250300172199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.90.1
61.060.9
Auto14.2
Teleop37.0
End8.5
blue by 6.9
125
#25
67.80.4
66.566.9
Auto17.4
Teleop37.7
End10.9
Second
60.10.1
60.260.1
Auto12.1
Teleop38.7
End8.8
blue by 5.5
65.50.4
64.264.6
Auto14.5
Teleop42.1
End7.3
Third
4795
#15
58.00.1
58.258.0
Auto15.6
Teleop34.7
End7.7
blue by 0.8
870
#24
58.80.4
57.557.8
Auto14.6
Teleop34.4
End9.3