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Red171
69564.8
205458.8
571255.5
Blue202
546065.5
12567.8
87058.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions174194100150250171202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
695
#16
64.80.1
64.764.8
Auto14.6
Teleop40.4
End7.1
blue by 3.1
125
#25
67.80.8
65.766.5
Auto17.4
Teleop37.7
End10.9
Second
58.80.1
58.758.8
Auto13.6
Teleop35.5
End6.4
blue by 6.8
65.50.8
63.464.2
Auto14.5
Teleop42.1
End7.3
Third
5712
#50
55.50.1
55.455.5
Auto14.0
Teleop32.8
End7.0
blue by 3.3
870
#24
58.80.8
56.757.5
Auto14.6
Teleop34.4
End9.3